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Chris Donnan : Programming - Brooklyn Style

software, trading, family, fun

Global Markets - decoupled my @$&@(#

I just can’t help but comment on the markets. Today was really an amazing day in the global markets. I went to bed last night and saw the Hang Seng was down some … 7% or 8% - that is steep. I woke up, flipped on the TV for the kids - it was on .. CBS news and they were talking about the ‘destroyed markets in Asia this morning’. Amazing - Asian markets getting crushed - all off by 5-10%. European markets - Stoxx 50, the FTSE - all look like death as well. This was an abnormally bad morning for the world.

As I got to the office - there were several folks on their Bloomberg terms watching the US futures off by some large numbers - the DOW futures were down some 500+ points. There was more chatter than usual - more folks than usual obsessively watching the markets - complaining about trades they made that they were now pissed about, etc.

Then - surprise fed move - cut .75 basis points. Futures flicker and wave, stoxx 50 recovers, markets open. My basic prediction was gap down, trend up day for the US markets - which proved to be the case.

Anyhow - 2 points:

  1. The US economy is not in the best of shape. (The rates game has a funny way of devaluing our currency doesn’t it!?!?!)
  2. The global markets are really, really, really coupled.

The comments from ‘the market gurus’ of the media and world were of course amusing. “NO big deal” to “the end of the world”.

Anyhow - I just had to comment on the day - it was impressive.

-Chris

PS - Here are a few links - the stuff I read daily regarding the markets:

Newsgator RSS aggregator comes in handy :)

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No Responses to “Global Markets - decoupled my @$&@(#”

  1. Chris Donnan : Programming - Brooklyn Style - Amazing - SocGen Rogue Trader causes fed rate cuts this week !?, on January 26th, 2008 at 1:14 pm, said:

    [...] So - I posted earlier about the Fed’s shocker cut this week. It turned out to be an amazingly volatile week for the global markets- 1 day in the US - the Dow had a ~600 point swing (that is around the 3rd biggest % swing day ever for the Dow). The Hang Seng was down ~10% one day, up 5%/ 6% on other days. The Stoxx 50 had similar volatility - just huge global markets volatility. Also Societe Generale Reports EU4.9 Billion Trading Loss.because of a rogue, evil, bad, no-goodnik trader. Shocking in and of itself. This morning I was reading John Mauldin’s weekly markets newsletter. He points over to a Financial Times article “Markets ask if the Fed was duped?”. Essentially - the idea is that - SocGen accounted for some 10% of the market action as it unwound its evil, bad, wrong way trade… thus driving down the global markets. [...]

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